The latest NFL odds from the Las Vegas Hotel & Casino don’t quite line up. The San Diego Chargers over/under win total for the 2012 season remains at 9 while the Broncos has slipped to 8 1/2.
To paraphase A.J. Smith: Hope the Chargers don’t runaway with the division.
And Vegas doesn’t think they will. In fact, the Broncos still have slightly better odds to win the AFC West (7 to 5) than the Chargers (3 to 2). And the Broncos’ odds to win the Super Bowl (20-to-1) are better than the Chargers (30-to-1). Even though, again, the Chargers’ win total is 9 while the Broncos is 8 1/2.
“”The (over/under) are determined by the money that comes in,” said Jay Kornegay of the LV Hotel & asino. “”When it was 9 1/2 the Sharp money (bet on the Broncos) was coming in on the under. It’s all about the schedule. The money coming in, the guys I’ve talked to say that schedule is going to be very difficult to overcome. Everything says 9-7. But, that’s if Manning stays healthy.”
The Broncos’ schedule includes games against New England (13-3 last year), New Orleans (13-3), Pittsburgh (12-4) and Baltimore (12-4). That’s four teams with a combined 50-14 record last year. Then they have Atlanta (10-6) and Houston (10-6). And then there’s up-and-coming Cincinnati and Carolina with second-year quarterbacks Andy Dalton and Cam Newton, and the AFC West against whom the Broncos are 1-8 at home in the past three years.
The Broncos, by the way, went from tied for the fifth-best odds to win the Super Bowl at the time they signed Peyton Manning to what is now tied for ninth-best odds.
To paraphase A.J. Smith: Hope the Chargers don’t runaway with the division.
And Vegas doesn’t think they will. In fact, the Broncos still have slightly better odds to win the AFC West (7 to 5) than the Chargers (3 to 2). And the Broncos’ odds to win the Super Bowl (20-to-1) are better than the Chargers (30-to-1). Even though, again, the Chargers’ win total is 9 while the Broncos is 8 1/2.
“”The (over/under) are determined by the money that comes in,” said Jay Kornegay of the LV Hotel & asino. “”When it was 9 1/2 the Sharp money (bet on the Broncos) was coming in on the under. It’s all about the schedule. The money coming in, the guys I’ve talked to say that schedule is going to be very difficult to overcome. Everything says 9-7. But, that’s if Manning stays healthy.”
The Broncos’ schedule includes games against New England (13-3 last year), New Orleans (13-3), Pittsburgh (12-4) and Baltimore (12-4). That’s four teams with a combined 50-14 record last year. Then they have Atlanta (10-6) and Houston (10-6). And then there’s up-and-coming Cincinnati and Carolina with second-year quarterbacks Andy Dalton and Cam Newton, and the AFC West against whom the Broncos are 1-8 at home in the past three years.
The Broncos, by the way, went from tied for the fifth-best odds to win the Super Bowl at the time they signed Peyton Manning to what is now tied for ninth-best odds.
What does this mean...
1. The Chargers are Vegas Favorite to win the division based on how many wins vegas thinks we will get
2. Odds say we will only win half a game more with PM then we did with Tebow
3. Odds say we will probably not make playoffs but if we do odds say only 8 teams have a better chance to win it all
I know odds are effected by bets placed to ensure Vegas does not lose too much money. Wonder how much of this is "smart football" people changing odds and how much of this is odds reacting to bets.
for the record my odds right now
1. Broncos win division bet on it
2. Broncos go to AFC Champ game bet on it
Right now I do not think we have the defensive playmakers to go further then that but during training camp and reg season that could change!
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