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PAINTERDAVE
06-01-2016, 05:33 PM
PFF: Houston Texans Signing Brock Osweiler Was The Worst Move Of The NFL Offseason

By Tim  @battleredblog on Jun 1, 2016
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Recall that PFF (specifically, Sam Monson, who previously endeared himself to Texans fans by opining that Aaron Donald, not J.J. Watt, should have won the NFL's Defensive Player of the Year award last season) is not the first to declare that the marriage between the Texans and their new quarterback will end poorly; indeed, Monson doesn't paint quite the apocalyptic picture Jason La Canfora did. Still, I was intrigued by the idea that literally no other move made by any other NFL team involving any other player was as rotten as Houston's decision to sign Brock Osweiler, so I clicked the link and read this

1. Texans handing Brock Osweiler a $72 million based on seven games
No move this offseason has the potential to torpedo a franchise quite like this one. The Texans have been faced with quarterback troubles for awhile, and so you can understand their anxiety about needing to find their franchise signal-caller. Given where they were picking in the draft, they had little to no chance of getting one of the top two available rookies, so they went all-in on free agency, instead. The problem, though, is that there wasn’t a sure-thing in free agency, or even close to it. The Texans ended up handing Brock Osweiler a $72 million contract based on just seven games of starting action in the NFL.

That would be risky if those were seven all-pro caliber games, but they were seven games of average play that saw him benched for a geriatric Peyton Manning—who, at times, seemed more likely to throw the ball to opposing players than his own last season—because Denver felt he gave them the better chance to win big games. Obviously Manning has a certain level of built-up benefit of the doubt, but even in a competition to simply steer the ship, Osweiler was second-best on his own team last season. Now Houston needs him to do significantly more than that.

In his 2015 starts, he recorded a passer rating of 95.9 when kept clean, completing 66.5 percent of his passes at 7.3 yards per attempt; when the heat was applied, those numbers fell to a passer rating of 66.9, a completion percentage of 52.2, and 6.9 yards per attempt. It is impossible to definitively declare that Osweiler will fail from the evidence we have of his play, but it is equally impossible to be sure of his success going forward—which a $72 million contract pretty much necessitates. Bill O’Brien and the Houston Texans are gambling huge on Osweiler, which would be easier to accept had they not been so adamant a year ago that their quarterback group was far better than people believed.

As I've written on numerous occasions, it's fair to be skeptical of Osweiler succeeding in Houston, and you certainly won't hear me saying that Bill O'Brien's handling of the quarterback situation for his first two seasons here has been optimal. But to say that the Texans signing Osweiler was the worst move made by any NFL team this offseason? In a world where two other teams sold the proverbial farm to move up for the opportunity to draft Jared Goff and/or Carson Wentz? Or, as Monson himself noted, when a team decided to select a kicker in the second round of the 2016 NFL Draft? Or any number of other free agent contracts lavished upon players like Marvin Jones, Janoris Jenkins, Chase Daniel, Malik Jackson, or Olivier Vernon?

PAINTERDAVE
06-01-2016, 05:35 PM
A Texan fans opinion.. along with the PFF story.
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Fair and Balanced... lol

PAINTERDAVE
06-01-2016, 06:55 PM
The PFF opinion is based on metrics..
saying that when under pressure.. Osweiler is not good.
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Interestingly...
of all the drafted QB's in this class of 2016...
the QB with the BEST stats "under pressure " in college...
with 13 TD's and only 1 INT when under pressure...
is....
PAXTON LYNCH

Rastic
06-01-2016, 07:41 PM
Ouch. The article bites deep.

That signing was a gamble for sure as was Elway's offer that Houston outbid.

If Os is average at best there might be some serious changes next season in the locker room as well as the FO.

Some people only shine when the pressure is put on and they have no where to go. Is Osweiler that kind of person? With the stakes being SO high, willingly thrust in to a desperate situation with so much baggage, probably unable to enjoy a honeymoon season like a newly minted starter, we may never know.

PAINTERDAVE
06-01-2016, 08:13 PM
Well, they drafted a bunch of weapons for him....

Houshmazode
06-01-2016, 08:18 PM
Well, they drafted a bunch of weapons for him....
I'm not too impressed with their draft. Fuller may be nice, but how often did you see Brock connecting with Sanders?

A center can't hurt. Ervin is a Ronnie Hillman clone and Braxton Miller is a terrible route runner. At least Brock has Hopkins to throw to.

Hadez
06-03-2016, 07:54 AM
It is true...with the contract given to Os if he does not work out that team will be in trouble salary cap wise.

I am pretty sure Oz will struggle in 2016. The Texans will face great tests to their patience and ability to follow the plan they put in motion before it is even a year old imo.

Still think it could work out in 2017 but it will be interesting to see if the Texans blink in what should have been known learning pains....big money sometimes comes with little patience

Players need to be careful unless all they want is one big contract after their rookie season...not all franchises will support a player like the player needs for success.

Ask Cutler how it felt going from a team being built for him to an offense with little talent at OL and WR for years and coaching situation that changes like the Colorado weather.

DrunkPanda
07-04-2016, 08:31 PM
I'm not too impressed with their draft. Fuller may be nice, but how often did you see Brock connecting with Sanders?

A center can't hurt. Ervin is a Ronnie Hillman clone and Braxton Miller is a terrible route runner. At least Brock has Hopkins to throw to.

I agree with this, Brock's deep ball was surprisingly poor for someone who people keep talking about how strong his arm is. Doesn't matter if you have a strong arm if you have no accuracy when throwing deep. He doesn't put any air under his ball for some reason, so if it's not pinpoint accurate, it's an incompletion

DrunkPanda
07-04-2016, 08:35 PM
It is true...with the contract given to Os if he does not work out that team will be in trouble salary cap wise.

I am pretty sure Oz will struggle in 2016. The Texans will face great tests to their patience and ability to follow the plan they put in motion before it is even a year old imo.

Still think it could work out in 2017 but it will be interesting to see if the Texans blink in what should have been known learning pains....big money sometimes comes with little patience

Players need to be careful unless all they want is one big contract after their rookie season...not all franchises will support a player like the player needs for success.

Ask Cutler how it felt going from a team being built for him to an offense with little talent at OL and WR for years and coaching situation that changes like the Colorado weather.

Honestly I think Cutler is very happy with his situation. He doesn't appear to care about winning, so Chicago's bad teams aren't really a negative for him. And he's gotten multiple huge money contracts, he's as happy as a clam. And him crybaby-ing his way out of Denver indirectly led us to 2 Super Bowl appearances & 1 win, since it got rid of Little Napoleon.

So I no longer feel any resentment towards him, which I had been harboring for a while