Originally posted by Peanut
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I always thought getting the win would be the easy part for him & that the points would be the hard part & being the numbers guy i am, let me break it down on why i think it will be difficult...
10 races to go & he needs to make up 136 points which they are saying an average finish of 14th or better...one may say 14th? sounds easy but there isn't room for error like he has had already.
kyle has 5 races under his belt with finishes of 11th, 36th, 9th, 43rd & 1st...which adds up to an average finish of 20th.
another way of looking at it is he has scored 125 points or an average of 25 per race, but a 14th = 30 points or in other words, he would need to score 300 more points but currently is only on pace for 250 more & that is even with a win & 2 more finishes of 11th & 9th.
So those 2 bad finishes have thrown things out of whack & i would say he could have maybe 1 more & still have a slim chance but anymore & forget it.
Can he do it? yes i absolutely think he can but he has to be consistent now & stay clean for at least 8 if not 9 of the 10 remaining races.
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