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2020 Super Bowl Poll - Who Wins and Within What Point Differential

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  • 2020 Super Bowl Poll - Who Wins and Within What Point Differential

    Ok folks. Pick the winner and by one of a selection of winning point differentials.

    This is extremely hard for me, because I believe these teams have a 50/50 chance to win. But I am going KC by 3. Mahomes is on a roll, and is making some folks forget Lamar and Russ, given their outstanding seasons. But I do like SF a lot, with that stellar D, and that incredible Dline! They can run too. But I am giving KC the slight edge partly due to their ability to curtail Henry and The Titans. That was the knock on them this season, but I have to say, they've improved. KC has shown amazing resilience of late, coming from behind with relative ease. Now, SF is a different beast, and if SF gets a good lead I expect them to win. And if Jimmy G has a good game, I also think SF likely wins.

    But I can't wait for the game....and to be honest, I will be happy for either team, because I like some folks on both sides.
    14
    KC by 1-3 points
    14.29%
    2
    KC by 4-7 points
    14.29%
    2
    KC by 8-14 points
    28.57%
    4
    KC by more than 14 points
    0.00%
    0
    SF by 1-3 points
    7.14%
    1
    SF by 4-7 points
    28.57%
    4
    SF by 8-14 points
    7.14%
    1
    SF by more than 14 points
    0.00%
    0

  • #2
    Originally posted by CanDB View Post
    Ok folks. Pick the winner and by one of a selection of winning point differentials.

    This is extremely hard for me, because I believe these teams have a 50/50 chance to win. But I am going KC by 3. Mahomes is on a roll, and is making some folks forget Lamar and Russ, given their outstanding seasons. But I do like SF a lot, with that stellar D, and that incredible Dline! They can run too. But I am giving KC the slight edge partly due to their ability to curtail Henry and The Titans. That was the knock on them this season, but I have to say, they've improved. KC has shown amazing resilience of late, coming from behind with relative ease. Now, SF is a different beast, and if SF gets a good lead I expect them to win. And if Jimmy G has a good game, I also think SF likely wins.

    But I can't wait for the game....and to be honest, I will be happy for either team, because I like some folks on both sides.
    I picked SF 31-23 in GD, but I'm thinking that if SF wins, it could be anywhere from a few to a 10 point margin. I'd love to see them shut KC down, and hold them under 20, but I just can't imagine that happening to Mahomes in the SB.

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    • #3
      Originally posted by Spice 1 View Post
      I picked SF 31-23 in GD, but I'm thinking that if SF wins, it could be anywhere from a few to a 10 point margin. I'd love to see them shut KC down, and hold them under 20, but I just can't imagine that happening to Mahomes in the SB.
      I get ya. I see it about 30-27 for KC, though when you make a 3 point prediction, you are really saying it can go either way. I can't wait though, to see how this game gets going, Will we be correct with some of our assumptions, or is this going to go down much different? Will Mahomes look razor sharp, or will SF get to him? Will Jimmy G surprise, and threw several TD passes? Will a few turnovers change the flow of the game? So many possibilities, and I think it may be one of the better SBs in years.

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      • #4
        Whoa....I might have started this one too late!!!

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        • #5
          Anyway....if you get a chance, please cast your vote. I was hoping to get a good cross-section of the fans, even if a bit late.

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          • #6
            Yaaay…..I have company, which means my choice will not look quite as stupid as it might, all by itself!!

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            • #7
              I will be rooting for the 49ers but I do feel the Chiefs win the game. I just think the Chiefs have an offensive energy the 49ers won't be able to match. The talk is all about the 49ers defense for good reason, but this isn't your typical Swiss cheese Chiefs defense either. The Chiefs have some really good players on that side as well.

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              • #8
                Originally posted by atwaterandstir View Post
                I will be rooting for the 49ers but I do feel the Chiefs win the game. I just think the Chiefs have an offensive energy the 49ers won't be able to match. The talk is all about the 49ers defense for good reason, but this isn't your typical Swiss cheese Chiefs defense either. The Chiefs have some really good players on that side as well.
                I see it that way as well. I really like SF, and their Dline is the best in the league, given their depth. But they do not blitz much, and I am not sure if you can depend on their secondary to keep Mahomes in check. He has a track meet happening (at WR) along with one of the very best TEs in the game.

                But again, this game intrigues me in so many ways. I would like to see Reid win, to get all the "critics" off his back, who point out all he does wrong but seem to neglect all his strengths as a HC and leader. Hey, KC even has a canuck as a starter. But I am a fan of Bosa and others, and I like JG.

                As for clock management skills, not sure Reid is in a league of his own, given Shanahan's huge blunder against The Pats, when all he had to do was kill the clock! But I like him too. He and Reid deserve to be in this game.

                As for Mahomes, I think he's very confident, but has a bit of an annoying voice. Other than that, I don't mind the kid...never mind that fact he has elite football skills.

                Should be a good one!!

                Comment


                • #9
                  Remember folks...the winner of this poll gets to be called "World's Best Person" for a year (minimum), though some of us will keep calling ourselves that name regardless.
                  Last edited by CanDB; 02-01-2020, 01:42 PM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Aaron Schatz wrote up a good statistical comparison on Football Outsiders here: Super Bowl LIV Preview

                    I particularly enjoyed this comment at the bottom by "ammek":

                    Having watched them trample all over the NFC North I am leaning strongly toward a convincing 49ers win. The parallels with SB32 (Denver vs Green Bay) are striking. Elway had a pretty poor game with a couple turnovers but it didn't matter because the offensive line was dominating so effectively, as it had throughout the playoffs. This 49ers line has gotten in sync so well that it's hard to see the Chiefs' defensive front disrupting it.

                    And the Niners' defense is way better than Denver's was in 1997, especially upfront. I doubt the Chiefs' offensive line will hold up.

                    If KC is going to win it'll be with a game like the 49ers' last superbowl appearance: a bunch of big scoring plays on offense and not much else. But the Chiefs are not built to run out the clock with a lead, and I can't see them staying turnover-free. SF 34 KC 24.


                    ------------------

                    It really may come down to mistakes and momentum --critical penalties and turnovers. The Chefs have a slightly higher Turnover Differential (at +8) than the Niners (+4) in the regular season. However, in the postseason playoffs the Chefs are at +1 while the Niners have +5!

                    Superbowl 50 MVP Von Miller on February 7th, 2016

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                    • #11
                      Originally posted by L.M. View Post
                      Aaron Schatz wrote up a good statistical comparison on Football Outsiders here: Super Bowl LIV Preview

                      I particularly enjoyed this comment at the bottom by "ammek":

                      Having watched them trample all over the NFC North I am leaning strongly toward a convincing 49ers win. The parallels with SB32 (Denver vs Green Bay) are striking. Elway had a pretty poor game with a couple turnovers but it didn't matter because the offensive line was dominating so effectively, as it had throughout the playoffs. This 49ers line has gotten in sync so well that it's hard to see the Chiefs' defensive front disrupting it.

                      And the Niners' defense is way better than Denver's was in 1997, especially upfront. I doubt the Chiefs' offensive line will hold up.

                      If KC is going to win it'll be with a game like the 49ers' last superbowl appearance: a bunch of big scoring plays on offense and not much else. But the Chiefs are not built to run out the clock with a lead, and I can't see them staying turnover-free. SF 34 KC 24.


                      ------------------

                      It really may come down to mistakes and momentum --critical penalties and turnovers. The Chefs have a slightly higher Turnover Differential (at +8) than the Niners (+4) in the regular season. However, in the postseason playoffs the Chefs are at +1 while the Niners have +5!
                      Hey pal....this game seems so close that I have trouble making a good argument for one over the other. I lean to KC, but slightly, and yet every time I think SF D, I realize that they have one of the best Dlines (including backups) in a long while. IF that front group gives Mahomes some trouble, they win.

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                      • #12
                        Both teams have play makers in all three phases of the game. It will be very interesting to see who makes the plays and who does not. I could write 2 or 3 cases for why either team will win but here is what I choose to go with.

                        Mahomes is special but so was Elway his first three trips to the Super Bowl...so was PM in his first trip to the SB as a Bronco...so was Marino in his trip to the Super Bowl. Cam Newton was supposedly the Mahomes of his day when he lost the Super Bowl. imo almost always the most complete team wins the Super Bowl and the 49ers are the most complete team. I do agree this could be similar to when PM won at Indy where the Indy defense was flawed all season and started to play lights out for the playoffs but I do not think so.

                        I hope it is a 59-52 game where TDs are scored by all three parts of the game on both teams. Over 10 lead changes.
                        Skill + Effort = Talent. Talent + Effort = Achievement. A. Duckworth - Grit.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by Hadez View Post
                          Both teams have play makers in all three phases of the game. It will be very interesting to see who makes the plays and who does not. I could write 2 or 3 cases for why either team will win but here is what I choose to go with.

                          Mahomes is special but so was Elway his first three trips to the Super Bowl...so was PM in his first trip to the SB as a Bronco...so was Marino in his trip to the Super Bowl. Cam Newton was supposedly the Mahomes of his day when he lost the Super Bowl. imo almost always the most complete team wins the Super Bowl and the 49ers are the most complete team. I do agree this could be similar to when PM won at Indy where the Indy defense was flawed all season and started to play lights out for the playoffs but I do not think so.

                          I hope it is a 59-52 game where TDs are scored by all three parts of the game on both teams. Over 10 lead changes.
                          Could be like the SF/NO game when the score just never seemed to stop!

                          The only thing I am just not sensing is a lower score, even though The 49ers have such a good D.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Originally posted by CanDB View Post
                            Could be like the SF/NO game when the score just never seemed to stop!

                            The only thing I am just not sensing is a lower score, even though The 49ers have such a good D.
                            I think we are more likely to see defenses score than see a low scoring game.

                            SF defense scored 5 TDs this year. KC has 3. SF is top 5 and looks like KC is just out of the top 10. Only TB and Balt defense scored more this year than SF.
                            Skill + Effort = Talent. Talent + Effort = Achievement. A. Duckworth - Grit.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Cmon folks...my mistake for posting so late, but lets get at least 20 poll takers if we can. I find it interesting!

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