What I find astounding is that there can be over 60 posts in this thread and NOT ONE person has even bothered to point out that drafting Matt Leinart is IMPOSSIBLE! Forget about whether it's a good idea or not, it's flat impossible!
Everyone is making all the same pointless arguments back and forth: "He'd be great", "NO! We'd be giving up too much!", "Yes we need him, Plummer suX!" "No we don't! Plummer will have a breakout year!"
On and on with this drivel!
Assuming he is the #1 draft pick next year, the Broncos could NEVER draft Leinart.
NONE of you have bothered to consider the Draft Value of the #1 pick! That is how NFL teams evaluate whether they're getting equivalent trade value for their picks.
Take a look at the
DRAFT VALUE CHART!!
Notice that the #1 pick is worth 3000 points!
Now if BOTH the Broncos & Redskins finish 6-10 (which will never happen, but let's imagine it did), both teams would pick between 8-12.
Optomistically speaking, let's say the Broncos had the 9 and 10 pick. Those combined picks are (1350 + 1300 points = 2650pts).
Even the 9th & 10th pick TOGETHER STILL DON'T EQUAL the #1 pick!
The Broncos #2 pick would be worth about 480 points, so we're talking trading:
the Broncos #1 and #2 picks, plus the #1 pick we got from the Redskins for the overall #1 pick. That's THREE picks. Do you think there's the most remote chance that Shanahan would trade the 3 picks for the overall #1 even if he had them?
And that assumes that the Broncos even HAVE a top 10 pick, which would mean either the Broncos or the Redskins would probably have to win 5 games (certainly not more than 6 and get lucky with draft pick tie breakers like strength of schedule). That's simply to get 1 top 10 pick. For the Broncos to have 2 top 10 picks BOTH teams would have to go a combined 12-20 or worse (probably worse).
Now do you see why all this drivel is pointless? It can't happen. Period. Unless you think BOTH the Broncos AND Redskins are going to go 5-12 or 6-10. If the Broncos win 8 games their pick would be worth about 900-950 pts. So basically you're hoping that the Redskins win not more than 4 games next year.
That won't happen. You really think the Redskins are one of the 3 worst teams in the league next season? No way they're as bad as Cleveland, Miami, or S.F. last year.
Now I know since I've posted about draft value before that most of you will simply ignore this reality so you can go blithely on arguing nonsense.
But for anyone who lives in the real world, that should end this ridiculous debate.
